August 24, 2014
Normalized US Earthquake Damage
UPDATE: Early damage estimate in neighborhood of $1 billion (NYT).
With news of a 6.0 magnitude earthquake today in San Francisco, I thought I'd provide a perspective on historical damage, The data in the table below are estimates of normalized damage for the top15 14 events in our dataset -- from Vranes and Pielke 2009 (PDF), which I have quickly updated to 2014 values. A normalization seeks to estimate how much damage would occur if a past event occurred with today's level of wealth and development.
There are a lot of uncertainties in earthquake normalization methods, and those interested in digging deeper should have a look at our paper for the gory details. The top event is the 1906 San Francisco earthquake, which reminds us that while big earthquakes are rare, they can do lots of damage. For perspective, a repeat of the 1906 San Francisco earthquake could cause more than twice the damage caused by all US tornadoes since 1950.
With news of a 6.0 magnitude earthquake today in San Francisco, I thought I'd provide a perspective on historical damage, The data in the table below are estimates of normalized damage for the top
There are a lot of uncertainties in earthquake normalization methods, and those interested in digging deeper should have a look at our paper for the gory details. The top event is the 1906 San Francisco earthquake, which reminds us that while big earthquakes are rare, they can do lots of damage. For perspective, a repeat of the 1906 San Francisco earthquake could cause more than twice the damage caused by all US tornadoes since 1950.
| Rank | Date | Normalized 2014 Damage | Deaths | Magnitude | Location |
| 1 | 18-Apr-06 | $345,207,435,386 | 2000 | 8.3 | San Francisco |
| 2 | 28-Mar-64 | $38,910,888,527 | 131 | 8.4 | Anchorage, Alaska |
| 3 | 18-Oct-89 | $37,521,623,532 | 62 | 7.1 | California, Loma Prieta |
| 4 | 17-Jan-94 | $37,046,374,369 | 60 | 6.6 | Los Angeles |
| 5 | 11-Mar-33 | $19,340,807,766 | 100 | 6.3 | California, Long Beach |
| 6 | 13-Apr-49 | $11,078,046,116 | 8 | 7.0 | Olympia, Washington |
| 7 | 18-May-80 | $9,495,474,795 | 31 | 5.2 | Washington, Mt St. Helens |
| 8 | 9-Feb-71 | $9,197,179,695 | 65 | 6.5 | California, San Fernando |
| 9 | 28-Feb-01 | $6,024,383,136 | 0 | 6.8 | Washingotn, Olympia |
| 10 | 11-Oct-18 | $5,670,099,871 | 116 | 7.5 | Puerto Rico |
| 11 | 19-May-40 | $5,036,397,660 | 9 | 6.5 | Imperial Valley (California) |
| 12 | 21-Jul-52 | $4,116,494,364 | 13 | 7.7 | Central Calfornia |
| 13 | 19-Oct-35 | $3,989,310,216 | 2 | 6.2 | Montana |
| 14 | 29-Jun-25 | $3,729,835,249 | 13 | 6.3 | Santa Barbara (California) |